Kansas GOP Insider (wannabe): Gidget's predictions -- Brownback vs. Winn

Monday, August 4, 2014

Gidget's predictions -- Brownback vs. Winn

Brownback vs. Winn

Gov. Brownback is going to win this race easily. However, it will be much closer than it should be. I can't tell you the number of people I know who have cast votes for Jennifer Winn in advanced voting. The handful of people I spoke to said they recognize that Brownback will win and want him to, but they said they hoped their votes would send a message that all isn't quite rosy in the love affair between conservatives and the Brownback administration.

Under normal circumstances, an incumbent Republican Governor in red Kansas should probably win with more than 80 percent of the vote. (Even 90 percent wouldn't be unreasonable.) In my mind, if the Brownback/Colyer ticket doesn't come close to 80 percent, they should be concerned. The general election isn't going to be a cake walk.

And OK. One insider-y bit, I have heard from people who have been out campaigning for House and U.S. Senate candidates that many conservative voters on doorsteps are openly hostile to the Governor. The likely voters are happy to vote for a conservative candidate, but they haven't been overjoyed about voting for Brownback. Does that mean they'll support Democrat Paul Davis? I can't say, but seriously, Mark Dugan, David Kensinger, whoever is running Brownback's campaign, please, please start listening to your conservative legislators. I KNOW they have mentioned the doorstep conversations to you. They aren't making this stuff up. Many conservative, likely voters -- you're very base of support -- are completely fed up with Brownback.

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